Crashing aircraft lately. Compiled a list of the most dangerous and safe aircraft

29.11.2020

The most common cause of civilian aircraft crash - Human factor

US - an absolute leader in the number of plane crash since 1945

As a result of the terrorist attack, every twelfth of broken liners

On November 29, the plane crashed in Colombia, at which the football players of the Brazilian team "Shapevetse" flew. At least 76 people died, for life 13 people are struggling doctors. According to preliminary data, the liner fell into the jungle due to the fact that several dozen miles to the airport ended fuel.

Statistics of crashes

The cause of half of all plane crash - pilots errors. Some of them are neglecting by job descriptions, others do not have sufficient experience, others simply show negligence. The situation can be attributed to the same group when the pilot deliberately sends the aircraft to the building or to the ground to reduce the scores with life.

1/5 of all a plane crash are a consequence of technique failure. If at the beginning and middle of the last century it was a question, as a rule, about design flaws when creating aircraft, now it is usually implied by poor-quality repairs. So, on August 12, 1985, due to the negligence of welders under Tokyo, Boeing-747 crashed.

Each tenth aircraft crash occurs due to unsuitable weather conditions. This is a fog, thunderstorm, heavy rain, snow or very strong wind. For this reason, on April 10, 2010, the liner fell under Smolensky, at which the then President of Poland Lech Kaczynsky flew.

In 8% of cases, the cause of the aircraft workers are the actions of terrorists and hijackers. This category includes, for example, clashes of liners with the buildings of the World Trade Center in New York on September 11, 2001.

6% of the plane crash are associated with aircraft service errors. In particular, due to the incorrect actions of the dispatcher on July 1, 2002 in Switzerland, two aircraft collided over the Lake of the Lake.

In other cases, it is not possible to determine the cause of the catastrophe, or it is quite rare (the crocodile is executed from the luggage compartment, the plane faced the birds of birds or hit the volcanic ash cloud). Sometimes officials voiced completely absurd versions of a plane crash.

"The plane fell due to the strength of gravity, since the car is heavier than air," the prosecutor of the Chusovsky district of the Perm region, Andrei Deliev, said in November 2010, commenting on the wreck of the MiG-31 fighter.

Where airplanes are most often falling

By the number of plane crash leader - USA. But this does not mean that it is more dangerous to fly in America than in Russia or Mexico: civil aviation is widespread in the United States, and the lion's fraction of crashes are on foster aircraft.

The number of a plane crash in Russia in the first half of 2016 was not reduced, but increased. During this period, 22 crashing of aircraft and helicopters were registered, and for the same period 2015 - 12. According to the JACDEC Research Center for 2016, the largest Russian air carrier is located on 36th place in the flight safety rating.

It should be borne in mind that the probability to die when the aircraft is crashes 62 times lower than in the car accident.

I was about a year ago wrote a post in my Facebook on this topic (www.facebook.com), I will copy it here:

When discussing the topic of the aircraft crash or airfoot, periodically hear the view that in Soviet times passenger air transportations were extremely safe, and then the USSR collapsed, chaos began in aviation, and the safety of flights fell sharply. Since I am very interested in aviation, I have long wanted to check this hypothesis and compare the safety of air transportation in the USSR / Russia in different years, and to take the United States as a point of reference. Now before this classes finally reached hands.

For this exercise, we will need: Datasets (two pieces); time (120 min.); Stat (1 pc.); Excel (1 pc.); And most importantly, the dexterity of the hands (dexterity - 1 pc., hands - preferably 2 pcs.) And no fraud. So do the following:

We take here (http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/is.air.psgr/countries/us?Display\u003dDefault) data on the number of passengers in the USA in 1971 - 2014 and Russia in 1991 - 2014 add a ogyuda ( https://skorobutov.wordpress.com/2013/10/15/ History-Aeroflotovad 2-3-1973-1983/) Data for the USSR for 1976 and from here (https://skorobutov.wordpress.com/ 2013 / 10/21 / History-Aeroflot-Part-5-1983-1993 /) - for 1990; At two points, we build a linear interpolation for the USSR since 1971 (not the perfect assumption, of course, but I did not find more good data for the USSR).

We take here (http://aviation-safety.net/database/country/) Data on all airfire for Russia / USSR and the USA from 1971

Note: Unfortunately, there is sorting by country on the basis of where a plane crash occurred, and not on the basis of which country belongs to the aircraft. So, for example, there is no Tu-154 disaster over Donetsk in 2006, but, again, I do not have other data, but manually sort the catastrophe too long and boring.

Note 2 (I summarized from comments): Data on air crashes in Russia / USSR from this site includes only catastrophes in modern Russia. I first did not earn it, and then remake all the data I did not have time, but the largest (about 20 dead) plane crashes on the territory of the Union republics I was trained manually. The remaining aircraft crashes with a relatively small number of victims are unlikely to change the overall picture; In addition, the abroad disaster leads to overestimation, and not undiscovery, the level of security in the USSR.

Clean the data. It will take into account only those who died on board the aircraft, but not on earth (can be taken into account, and everyone; I do not think that it will change something strongly); We remove all the missed and zero values \u200b\u200bof the victims; We remove the "criminal" categories (H1 and H2, C1 and C2 - terrorist attacks, hijackings, grips, etc., because directly to safety, they do not have a relationship); If possible, delete private (Private) and military (for the USSR / Russia: Soviet af, Polish af, Russian af, soviet navy; for usa: USMC, US Army, US Coast Guard, USAF, US Navy, Mexican af, Mali AF ) Operators. For the USSR, I still deleted the picture crash of Japanese JAL to clean the picture; For the US, it did not grow on to clean, since the airlines are very much.

Since there still remains a lot of easy air crash (only not Private, and some kind of "horns and hooves"), we remove all the plane crash with the number of victims less than 5 (again, not perfect, but at least so).

We group data on five-year segments: 1971 - 1975, 1976 - 1980, ..., 2006 - 2010, 2011 - 2014 (for 2015 there is no data on the number of passengers).

We divide the number of those killed in the plane crash for the number of passengers (in millions). We draw all this case on the chart (at the same time add separately graphs with the number of passengers and with the number of dead).

Now some observations:

a) While in the United States and the world, the air transportation industry has grown, in Russia after the collapse of the USSR, it collapsed and not restored to the Soviet level (and this fall cannot be explained simply by a decrease in the territory or reduction of the population caused by the collapse of the USSR).

b) some exceptional security Soviet aviation did not differ: on average it was almost four times less secure than American.

c) A huge progress is noticeable in the safety of air transportation in the United States. Modern aviation in developed countries is phenomenally safe.

d) If you look at the absolute number of dead, then, in general, the trend for Russia / USSR looks even better than for the United States, but the situation changes dramatically as soon as we take into account changes in the number of passengers.

Well, finally, to the answer to the main question: what happens to the safety of transport in Russia? In my opinion, the answer to this question depends on how the angle to look at the situation. I will rely on the relative, not the absolute, the number of dead, because it, in my opinion, better reflects the safety of flights.

Note: The change in the number of passengers does not take into account the change in passenger aircraft. Modern aircraft are much more than their 3-year old rates, so it is necessary to perform less flights to transport the same number of passengers to the same route today. And the smaller the flights, the less incident, with other things being equal. At the same time, one aircraft crash today brings more victims than in the past. In theory, these two effects more or less compensate each other. But in any case, since the route network is constantly changing, I can not estimate the number of flights made from my data, and I do not have accurate data by the number of flights, so I work with what is.

On the one hand, in the safety of transportation in Russia in 1991 - 2010, the failure (1996 - 2000 became a pleasant exception); The country has rolled back to the safety level characteristic of the USSR of the late 1970s - early 1980s. At the same time, it is not entirely clear what this failure caused by this failure: a sharp deterioration of the situation after the collapse of the USSR or an unexpected positive impact of security in 1986-1990 (most likely, both those and others).

Moreover, the situation with the safety of air transportation in Russia today, although he is inferior to the USSR of the period 1986 - 1990, it looks significantly better than any other Soviet period.

But still need to admit that relatively the United States everything looks very bad: in Soviet times, the gap between the USSR and the USA was much less than now; While in the US, the air transportation has become much safer, we did not have anything like this.

In other words, in the post-Soviet Russia there was no compence in the field of aviation security, which is characteristic of developed countries and even has a significant deterioration in the situation compared with the late USSR, but at the same time even the worst Russian times are comparable to individual Soviet segments. That is, it is impossible to say that the USSR was very safe in the USSR, and after the collapse of the USSR, something unprecedented was happening.

Bottom Line: In my opinion, it is necessary to raise a question about how to return during the times of the USSR (because then they flew a lot and broken a lot too), but about how to get closer to the modern US (because there are very, very many and very much Almost absolutely safe).

P.S. It would be very interesting to look at this data in the context of individual airlines, but, unfortunately, there is no such detailed data on the number of passengers. For example, "Aeroflot" on the passenger flights of accidents of aviation festal has not been from 1994; "Transaero" of such airfoots for 24 years of existence was not at all; Siberia / S7 had only one such case (except for the terrorist attack and an aircraft, it seems like a born in a Ukrainian rocket). There is a feeling that the leading Russian companies are currently inferior by Western in terms of security, but it does not understand in small companies. But now it is not necessary to take it as a call to all nationalize and unite: it's rather not in the size of itself and, even more so, who is the owner, but in what the level of preparation (and salaries) pilots, what is the culture of security in the company etc.

Many people prefer to get to this or that region with the help of an airliner, because the air is much more convenient and faster than by train. According to statistics every 2-3 seconds in the world landed and plane takes off. Should I give in to the fear when you enter the board of the aircraft? How often are airplanes? Such questions always torment passengers, especially those who rarely flies on the aircraft.

Everyone fears for their lives, so it is not surprising, why such questions arise. If you look at the news in which you constantly talk about any catastrophes, and often associated with the airline, it immediately disappears the desire to go somewhere. Of course, there is always danger. Even during the location of the house there is a risk of death, for example, from gas leakage. Thus, flying or not flying on aircraft is a very controversial question and here everyone itself decides how it is better to do. In order to understand how many airliners fall into disaster, consider statistics.

How many aircraft fall a year is a question that is interested in many people, even those who are not going to fly. You can cite such data:

As statistics shows, about 10,000 airliners take off every day.
About 4.5 billion people fly in aircraft - it is more than half of the world's population.
Of these, about 1000 people are dying in plane crash.
For 100 years of passenger aviation, 150,000 people died.

This indicator is several times less than the number of victims in road traffic accidents for the month. So what is safer to move? The answer is obvious. In an accident, people die much more often, so it is much more dangerous to ride in cars for life, rather than flying on airplanes.

According to statistics, since 2009 it happened 107 plane crash, 3245 passengers became victims.

How often do airplanes fall in Russia?

Unfortunately, our country occupies a leading position in the ranking of countries that have undergone the greatest number of airframes. This is due to the fact that Russia is the largest Power in the world. If you take statistics since 2009, then in the Russian Federation there was the greatest amount of catastrophe associated with airliners - 38 pieces. 378 people died in them. This is followed by America, where 11 incidents have happened over the past 6 years. If you take into account the data for the existence of civil aviation, then the United States of America here is held here.

Russia (38 accidents);
US (11 for this period);
Ukraine (7 for 6 years);
Congo (6 for the same period);
Germany (4 catastrophes in 2010).

What planes are most often falling?

If we talk about what aircraft are most often broken, here you need to bring the rating of the most dangerous airliners. So, the list is:

Boeing 737. This passenger aircraft was recognized as the most dangerous, since several plane crash occurred on it.
IL-76. A terrible catastrophe happened on this aircraft 13 years ago and carried a lot of human lives.
Tu-154. It also occurred a lot of accidents.
Airbus A310. The last catastrophe was this year, killed more than 150 lives and only one girl managed to survive.
McDonnell-Douglas DC-9. He has not been produced for many years, but the finished aircraft fly quite often. For all the time of existence on board this aircraft, only 44 people were killed.

Compared to the years of the last XX century, the number of plane crash, alas, increased. Airplanes are falling for various reasons. This may be a malfunction of the airliner itself, weather conditions or human factor. To say unequivocally, whether airplanes are often falling, difficult. If you compare with an accident, then on the aircraft is much safer moving. And in general, you should not be afraid of aircraft, because on Earth the risk to die much more than in the air.

About 100 thousand aircraft rises in the air daily and approximately the same make a successful landing. At the same time, the statistics of the dead are replenished by no more than 1000 per year - this is relatively less compared to those who died in an accident only a month around the world.

How often do aircraft statistics fall

How many aircraft fall a year is a question that is interested in many people, even those who are not going to fly. You can cite such data:

As statistics shows, about 10,000 airliners take off every day.
About 4.5 billion people fly in aircraft - it is more than half of the world's population.
Of these, about 1000 people are dying in plane crash.
For 100 years of passenger aviation, 150,000 people died.

Stats for falling aircraft in the world

According to world statistics, plane crash leaders are:

Russia
Canada

Where is the most victims of a plane crash?

(from 1945 - 2013)

USA: 763 catastrophes, 10514 victims;
Russia: 307 disasters, 7061 victim;
Canada: 173 catastrophes, 1755 victims;
Brazil: 172 catastrophes, 2681 victims;
Colombia: 164 catastrophes, 2774 victims;
United Kingdom: 102 disasters, 1278 victims;
France: 101 disasters, 2240 victims;
India: 93 catastrophes, 2341 victims;
Indonesia: 93 catastrophes, 1902 victims;
Mexico: 88 disasters, 1226 victims.

Statistics of the fall of aircraft in Russia

Speaking about our country, with bitterness you have to admit that over the past six years we have taken the first place in the world by the number of plane crash.

So during this time, 38 aircraft crashes occurred in Russia, in which 378 people died, while in the United States there were only 11 aircases.

Statistics of Falls of aircraft for airlines

What airlines have the greatest incidents? To answer this question, you need to make a rating of airlines by the number of aircraft drops.

Turkish Airlines.

The most massive and popular (especially among Russian tourists) The air carrier did not come across the faults from the seventies of the last century, but a series of small incidents, as well as a catastrophe of 2009 near the Dutch airport Schiphol, which took nine human lives, significantly spoiled the reputation of the airline.

China Airlines.

Taiwanese airline is considered one of the most unsafe in Asia.

Over the past thirty years, about 755 people have died in disasters that occurred with the aircraft of this aircraft carrier, which gives reason to suspect this company in an unprofessional approach to the security of its customers.

Korean Airlines.

The largest air carrier in South Korea spent more than a billion US dollars on various facilities for passengers. The courts of this company constantly fall into any small incidents, fortunately, until the victims. The last tragic case occurred in the distant 1997.

Saudi Arabian Airlines.

The main air carrier of Saudi Arabia. From a two thousandth year, a reputation is not a very secure company, various incidents often occur with the aircraft of this carrier, although only one person died (when they have arisen during evacuation), the frequency of various incidents with the participation of aircraft of this company has been extremely alarming.

Skywest Airlines.

The famous American airline specializes in local transportation. After the 1990s, a serious blow to the company's reputation was noted only by the 2008 catastrophe in San Antonio. Fortunately, there was no victims, but the carrier's reputation was made a serious blow.

South African Airways.

The largest airline South Africa specializes in domestic and international flights. The company's reputation was spoiled thanks to a failed terrorist from Zimbabwe, who captured the plane belonging to this air carrier in 2006. As a result of the incident, no one was injured and although responsibility lies in the airport security service, it did not save the carrier's reputation from a serious impact.

Aeroflot aircraft falling

There are several dozen airlines in our country. To determine their reliability and security, this or that company is assessed by various criteria, one of which is the technical safety of aircraft. The European Aviation Safety Agency compiled the rating of the most reliable air carriers in which the domestic company "Aeroflot" entered the list.

The company was founded in 1923. After the collapse of the USSR, many small carriers separated from her. In 1992, Aeroflot-Russian International Airlines Aeroflot was established, which marked the beginning of the modern history of the airline. For today's Day "Aeroflot" is the largest air carrier of Russia. For the period from 1992 to the present, there were 4 aircraftteads that took the lives of people. There is also information about another 5 accidents, which, fortunately, cost no victims.

The most famous disaster that occurred in the entire history of the airline is a tragedy under Mezhdurechensky. In the spring of 94 years, the passenger plane crashed, who followed the flight Moscow-Hong Kong. During the investigation, it turned out that the catastrophe occurred due to the fault of the commander of the aircraft. The man was planted for the steering wheel of his fifteen-year-old son. This catastrophe claimed 75 people.

Going on a journey to another country, people are interested not only by the reliability of airlines, but also the safety of the aircraft themselves. Therefore, it will not be superfluous to lead the rating of the most unreliable and dangerous aircraft.

Boeing 737, was recognized as one of the dangerous aircraft, since most disasters occurred on this type of aircraft.

Il 76 is also considered an unsafe aircraft, since it was on this ship 13 years ago a large catastrophe occurred, which took many human lives.

TU 154, recognized very dangerous and unreliable, a lot of accidents and abnormal situations also happened on this airliner.

Airbus A 310 also enjoys bad glory, it was on this ship on June 30, 2009 a catastrophe occurred, which took more than 150 human lives.

McDonnell-Douglas DC 9, this type of aircraft has not been issued for a long time and is removed from production, but for all his time there was several catastrophes as a result of which 44 people died.

2016 was the most saturated in terms of aircraft. To this conclusion, you can come by contacting the statistics of the plane crash, which occurred during this period.

On February 24, the passenger aircraft DHC-6 was crasheled in Nepal, 20 passengers and 3 members of the crew were on board the liner. As a result, the catastrophe has failed to survive anyone.

In a month, on March 9, a catastrophe in Bangladesh An 26 was crashing, the plane fell into the sea. On board was 4 people, they were all citizens of Ukraine. As a result, three people died, and only one managed to survive.

On the night of the 19th Mount of the same year, the Boeing 737 plane crashed in Rostov-on-Don during a set of height, the air liner began a sharp decline and collapsed on the airport runway. On board were 55 people and 7 crew members. As a result of the aircraft crash, everyone who was on board died.

Two months later, on May 18, in Twile, the disasters of An 12 B. There were 9 people on board. As a result of the crash, 7 people died, they managed to survive only two technicians.

The next day, on May 19, another catastrophe occurred, the Airbus A 320 aircraft collapsed into the Mediterranean Sea. All 66 people (56 passengers, 10 crew members) who were in his board died.

In two months, July 1, when extinguishing forest fires, due to poor visibility, the transport aircraft IL 76 EMERCOM of Russia was crashed. All 10 crew members who were aboard died.

Six months later on November 28, due to lack of fuel, the BAE 146 plane was crashed in Colombia. On board was 77 people. As a result of the incident, 71 people died and only 6 people were saved.

A month 7, ATR 42 was collapsed in the area of \u200b\u200bthe city of Javelian. All 47 people were on board died.

On December 25 of the same year, a large catastrophe occurred, the aircraft of the TU 154 of the Russian Air Force, as a result of the error of the crew commander, when entering the landing, crashed and completely collapsed. All those who were on board 92 killed.

In general, looking at the statistics, it can be concluded that it is much safer to move the aircraft than land transport to calculate the probability to die in a plane crash is 1: 8.000.000. Therefore, you should not be afraid to fly on airliners, because the risk to die on Earth is much higher than in the air.

Statistics of the fall of aircraft for 2017

Over the past months of this year, only 4 air crashes occurred, which is significantly less compared to the past 2016.

On January 16, going to the landing, failed Boeing 747. As a result of the incident, 39 people were killed and 14 were injured.

Three months after March 20, an accident with the An 26 aircraft occurred. As a result of the incident, 37 people were injured.

On April 29, the collapse of the An 26 was faced. 8 people were on board. All those who died on board.

Three months later, on June 7, the Y8 airliner crashed, half an hour, after the plane took off, the liner collapsed into the Andaman Sea. On board was 122 people. As a result, the catastrophe has failed to survive anyone.

I started to fly not so long ago, well, probably three years ago only. Before that, I thought at all that I would never fly to fly - there is scary and dangerous. When I started to fly the first time and got into some kind of shaking and a clock of the plane, I thought - well, everything, the end, and I lived so little. The wife also admitted that during the shaking of the plane mentally forgoting with everyone and thought that the plane was already falling.

Yes, everyone probably got into a large, medium or small turbulence during the flight. Someone sleeps calmly as in a minibus, someone sits pale, clutching his hands in armrests.

Or maybe a plane fall from turbulence?

If short, then the answer is: "No". And do not rush your eyes, looking for slaughter arguments against such an answer. Despite the very unpleasant subjective sensations, the turbulence itself will never make the plane fall to the ground. Pitatrick Smith's pilot in Askthepilot.com explained that even the most rigid movements of the air masses cannot turn the aircraft or break it into several parts.

Turbulence can cause breakage. But this is extremely rare. In this regard, the incident of half a century ago of 1966 is often quoted when a strong turbulence broke the Boeing 707 near the Fujian Volcano, to which the pilot wanted to take care of closer to better consider the Japanese sight. Gusts of the wind in the place reached 140 miles per hour, which traveled to everyone who was on board.

But since then the engineers have done serious work. The design of the aircraft has become more resistant to such loads. Modern passenger liners are able to take off at an angle of 90 degrees to the horizon, so no gusts of the wind on earth are not terrible. Dreamliner 787, for example, is equipped with special sensors that make it possible to accurately predict the location of turbulence zones. At the same time, a combination of adverse weather conditions and other factors (for example, a pilot error) can lead to a disaster.

Professor Robert Sherman from the National Center for Studies atmospheric (USA) said that the story recorded a couple of cases when very strong gusts of the air broke the engines from the wings. But even in these circumstances, the airfield was safely sat down at the airfield.

If the turbulence is very strong, then pilots can make adjustments to the route or landing elsewhere. But in this scenario, the situation develops very rarely. At the same time, the conditions may not be so terrible to cause harm to the aircraft. Usually, an emergency landing is committed due to the fact that someone from the passengers neglected the team "Fasten Belts" and now he needs urgent medical care.

The story has recently been popular in the media, as in one of the serious turbulences, several passengers received serious injuries.

"The Boeing 777 aircraft unexpectedly got into the zone of strong turbulence before the start of the decline. That is, there was no obligations to fasten the belts at that moment. As a result of a strong push, the plane threw up 100-200 meters up, part of the non-fastened passengers on the inertia were thrown into the passage and received Injuries, "said the source. Some passengers even hit the ceiling heads.

"The turbulence in which the Boeing 777 hit, in aviation is known as the" Turbulence of the Clear Heavy ". Its main feature is that it does not occur in the clouds, and in the clean heaven with good visibility, where the meteorological radar can not catch its approach. Therefore The crew does not have the opportunity to warn passengers about the need to return to its places, "the carrier says.

How does the pilots perceive the aircraft entry into the turbulence zone?

They are cared two things: the comfort of passengers and their own security.

It should be borne in mind that the pilots of different aircraft communicate with each other "in real time" in the air. They report observed phenomena in the atmosphere. If someone got into the "Boltak", his neighbors in the sky immediately learn about it. Also, this information is transmitted to dispatchers on Earth.

Pilots can slightly change their route to bypass the turbulence zone. But it turns out the additional cost of fuel and time. Therefore, some of them do not pay special attention to turbulence.

Experts advise not to rush to disassemble and run to the toilet immediately after leaving the turbulence zone or take-off.

The safest position during the flight is to relax in the chair, fastened by the belt. Remember: Turbulence is normal.

sources